Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 13.844662 16.152156 18.666795 21.603069 24.929574 28.573046 32.857297
2025-06-08 9.320709 12.294358 15.877689 20.476993 26.183042 32.986222 41.663307
2025-06-15 7.496478 10.879349 15.282007 21.346066 29.382818 39.559325 53.292380
2025-06-22 6.123985 9.651722 14.554083 21.715852 31.733989 45.047622 63.833434
2025-06-29 4.911736 8.360308 13.451110 21.295020 32.807114 48.767674 72.173137
2025-07-06 3.892671 7.136533 12.209166 20.425409 33.030640 51.193588 78.768729
2025-07-13 3.543304 6.899332 12.395704 21.656967 36.365569 58.198760 92.235641
2025-07-20 3.220063 6.639781 12.489918 22.716423 39.483387 65.055464 105.886908
2025-07-27 2.873169 6.271146 12.338509 23.330349 41.911993 70.992343 118.487974
2025-08-03 2.509309 5.801974 11.939723 23.460249 43.529712 75.737358 129.503580
2025-08-10 2.126746 5.222674 11.256324 22.999339 44.087827 78.794116 138.006881
2025-08-17 1.793467 4.679651 10.559725 22.419722 44.358984 81.355310 145.808249
2025-08-24 1.483993 4.149308 9.857906 21.838778 44.736909 84.390056 155.054112
2025-08-31 1.173967 3.548923 8.927336 20.719308 44.069887 85.679511 161.645330
2025-09-07 1.069752 3.428800 8.996591 21.600324 47.207367 93.784124 180.297179
2025-09-14 0.943771 3.220467 8.834187 21.974449 49.392150 100.327717 196.622158
2025-09-21 0.788819 2.889933 8.331258 21.549384 49.947622 103.933339 207.963321
2025-09-28 0.636861 2.521491 7.667272 20.670808 49.481199 105.582900 215.855234
2025-10-05 0.605441 2.519031 7.921535 21.915073 53.516078 115.969308 240.225731
2025-10-12 0.568153 2.487668 8.094797 22.985380 57.262499 126.013313 264.461682
2025-10-19 0.516669 2.393199 8.082639 23.605561 60.081648 134.408324 286.022543
2025-10-26 0.454408 2.240707 7.882909 23.736782 61.829216 140.779307 304.056413
2025-11-02 0.382817 2.027731 7.469353 23.271181 62.187433 144.368772 316.912885